Tier B — AI-reviewed by GPT-6 Luna, evidence as of 2026-10-19.
As of 2026-10-19 23:03 UTC — source: Polyscan AI review, n=1 for this pair
The review confirmed two divergences: “Different cutoff dates” and “Announcement date versus actual departure date”.
The phrase the review relied on most, one per venue: Kalshi: “must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period” Polymarket: “An announcement of Mr. Martin's resignation/removal before this market's end date”
The Kalshi Nov 1, 2026 cutoff and Polymarket Dec 31, 2026 cutoff differ; a Nov 15 departure yields Polymarket YES and Kalshi NO. An Oct 30 announcement effective after Nov 1 also yields Polymarket YES and Kalshi NO; the proposed suspension/leave edge remains unresolved wording.
Tier B — 2 material divergences, 1 unresolved wording difference
Different cutoff dates
Announcement date versus actual departure date
In each case one venue's text is determinate and the other's is unclear or silent. They are shown so nothing is hidden, and they are not counted as divergences.
Temporary leave or suspension
Example: KXMARTINDNCOUT-26MAY — this series recurs; showing the nearest archived instance in our data, not necessarily the exact one reviewed.
Ken Martin out as DNC chair?
Will Ken Martin be out as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Dec 1, 2026?
If Ken Martin leaves as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Ken Martin be out as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Nov 1, 2026?
If Ken Martin leaves as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Ken Martin be out as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Oct 1, 2026?
If Ken Martin leaves as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Ken Martin be out as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Sep 1, 2026?
If Ken Martin leaves as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Ken Martin be out as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jul 1, 2027?
If Ken Martin leaves as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Ken Martin be out as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jan 1, 2028?
If Ken Martin leaves as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
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If Ken Martin leaves as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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If Ken Martin leaves as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Ken Martin out as DNC Chair by...?
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ken Martin ceases to be Chair of the Democratic National Committee for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mr. Martin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Martin and the Democratic National Committee; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ken Martin ceases to be Chair of the Democratic National Committee for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mr. Martin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Martin and the Democratic National Committee; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prices for this series aren't captured yet.